Corn Yield Forecasts

Map showing probability of deviation from normal yields for rainfed sits in Nebraska and Kansas

2019 Corn Yield Forecasts as of September 17

September 19, 2019
Forecasted end-of-season yields for rainfed corn across the Corn Belt indicate above-average yield at two-thirds of the sites, with yields well above historical averages in Nebraska, Kansas, and Missouri. See data for individual irrigated and rainfed sites.

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Data for Forecasted Corn Yields as of August 21, 2019

August 22, 2019

Table 1. Data from simulations of 2019 end-of-season corn yield potential and real-time crop stage performed on August 21. (Full story at https://cropwatch.unl.edu/2019/2019-corn-yield-forecasts-august-21).

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Map showing likelihood of yield deviation from the long-term average yield potential for irrigated corn sites in Nebraska and Kansas.

2019 Corn Yield Forecasts as of August 21

August 22, 2019
There is a high probability of near- or above-average yields at all but two of the 37 locations studied. Corn has reached dough stage at most locations, except for irrigated corn in western and north-central Nebraska, northern North Dakota and Minnesota, and the eastern fringe of the region (Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio).

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Forecast yield deviations from normal for rainfed corn across the Corn Belt

2019 Corn Yield Forecasts as of July 31

August 2, 2019
This article summarizes the simulated crop stages and yield forecasts performed on July 31 for 37 locations across the US Corn Belt.

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Forecasted Corn Yields as of July 15, 2019

July 19, 2019

Table 1. Data from simulations of 2019 end-of-season corn yield potential and real-time crop stage performed on July 15. (Full story at https://cropwatch.unl.edu/2019/2019-corn-yield-forecasts-july-15).

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Growth stages of corn at rainfed sites in monitored by Corn Yield Forecast Center

2019 Corn Yield Forecasts as of July 15

July 19, 2019
Corn is still in vegetative stages across much of the Corn Belt. At this point, delayed planting doesn't appear to have affected yields at irrigated sites. Yields for rainfed sites vary considerably, with those on the western edge trending above normal.

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Map of the Corn Belt showing locations for the 2019 Corn Yield Forecasts
Map of the Corn Belt showing locations for the 2019 Corn Yield Forecasts

2019 Corn Yield Forecasts: Approach and Interpretation of Results

July 8, 2019
Agronomists address how the Corn Yield Forecast Center develops yield forecasts, what to expect during the growing season, and how to use the forecasts to inform farm decisions. Tables detailing soil types and crop management for each of the 41 locations are included.

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Chart showing deviations of yield forecasts to actual yields at four times during the season for 10 years.

The Big Unknown in Corn Yield Forecasts

June 27, 2019
Each year surveys and models are used to forecast final corn yields as the crop progresses through the season. Cropping Systems Specialist Roger Elmore looks at two forecast systems and examines 10 years of USDA National Agricultural Statistics Data to see how forecasts deviated from actual yields.

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