Oct. 16, 2018 Corn Yield Forecast Table 1

Oct. 16, 2018 Corn Yield Forecast Table 1

Table 1. Data from simulations of 2018 end-of-season corn yield potential and real-time crop stage performed on Oct. 16.
(Full story at Oct. 16 Corn Yield Forecast End of Season Report: High temperature during vegetative stages had little impact on forecasted yield potential.)

LocationWater RegimeLong-Term
Average Yield

(bu/ac) §
Forecasted black layer date and final yield (bu/ac) as of Oct 16Simulated
Current

Crop Stage*
NE
Alliance Irrigated 192 Black layer on September 17. Final yield: 221 bu/ac Matured
Beatrice Rainfed 155 Black layer on August 23. Final yield: 157 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 230 Black layer on Sept. 20. Final yield: 234 bu/ac Matured
Clay Center Rainfed 177 Black layer on September 1. Final yield: 223 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 245 Black layer on September 1. Final yield: 264 bu/ac Matured
Concord Rainfed 170 Black layer on September 11. Final yield: 237 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 248 Black layer on September 8. Final yield: 261 bu/ac Matured
Elgin Irrigated 251 Black layer on September 14. Final yield: 261 bu/ac Matured
Holdrege Rainfed 128 Black layer on August 27. Final yield: 143 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 241 Black layer on September 4. Final yield: 268 bu/ac Matured
McCook Rainfed 103 Black layer on August 31. Final yield: 129 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 224 Black layer on September 4. Final yield: 250 bu/ac Matured
Mead Rainfed 178 Black layer on August 31. Final yield: 237 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 235 Black layer on August 31. Final yield: 256 bu/ac Matured
North Platte Rainfed 105 Black layer on September 14. Final yield: 140 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 233 Black layer on September 18. Final yield: 264 bu/ac Matured
O'Neil Irrigated 226 Black layer on September 15. Final yield: 249 bu/ac Matured
IA
Ames Rainfed 231 Black layer on August 28. Final yield: 239 bu/ac Matured
Crawfordsville Rainfed 233 Black layer on August 14. Final yield: 147 bu/ac Matured
Kanawha Rainfed 232 Black layer on September 11. Final yield: 225 bu/ac Matured
Lewis Rainfed 198 Black layer on August 26. Final yield: 183 bu/ac Matured
Nashua Rainfed 231 Black layer on September 5. Final yield: 215 bu/ac Matured
Sutherland Rainfed 211 Black layer on September 12. Final yield: 186 bu/ac Matured
IL
Bondville Rainfed 231 Black layer on August 28. Final yield: 276 bu/ac Matured
Freeport Rainfed 212 Black layer on August 30. Final yield: 243 bu/ac Matured
Olney Rainfed 202 Black layer on August 16, Final yield: 226 bu/ac Matured
Peoria Rainfed 188 Black layer on August 23. Final yield: 245 bu/ac Matured
Springfield Rainfed 187 Black layer on August 9, Final yield: 220 bu/ac Matured
IN
Butlerville Rainfed 229 Black layer on August 25. Final yield: 212 bu/ac Matured
Columbia City Rainfed 223 Black layer on September 10. Final yield: 210 bu/ac Matured
Davis Rainfed 224 Black layer on September 3. Final yield: 250 bu/ac Matured
West Lafayette Rainfed 235 Black layer on September 1. Final yield: 221 bu/ac Matured
KS
Garden City Irrigated 220 Black layer on September 20. Final yield: 231 bu/ac Matured
Hutchinson Rainfed 113 Black layer on August 9. Final yield: 134 bu/ac Matured
Manhattan Rainfed 144 Black layer on August 31. Final yield: 96 bu/ac Matured
Scandia Rainfed 145 Black layer on August 23. Final yield: 129 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 221 Black layer on August 25. Final yield: 276 bu/ac Matured
Silverlake Rainfed 149 Black layer on July 30. Final yield: 61 bu/ac Matured
Irrigated 208 Black layer on August 9. Final yield: 228 bu/ac Matured
MI
Ceresco Rainfed 170 Black layer on September 21. Final yield: 178 bu/ac Matured
MN
Eldred Rainfed 137 Black layer on September 31. Final yield: 68 bu/ac Matured
Lamberton Rainfed 207 Black layer on September 10. Final yield: 239 bu/ac Matured
Waseca Rainfed 217 Black layer on September 12. Final yield: 244 bu/ac Matured
MO
Brunswick Rainfed 188 Black layer on August 8. Final yield: 145 bu/ac Matured
Monroe City Rainfed 186 Black layer on September 16. Final yield: 196 bu/ac Matured
St Joseph Rainfed 163 Black layer on August 4. Final yield: 74 bu/ac Matured
ND
Dazey Rainfed 138 Black layer on September 9. Final yield: 76 bu/ac Matured
OH
Custar Rainfed 206 Black layer on September 10. Final yield: 222 bu/ac Matured
South Charleston Rainfed 218 Black layer on September 1. Final yield: 250 bu/ac Matured
Wooster Rainfed 211 Black layer on September 16. Final yield: 210 bu/ac Matured

§ Long-term (last 20+ years) potential yield at each location and surrounding area.
¶ Range of forecasted 2018 potential yields based on average planting date in 2018, indicating yields in the 25th and 75th percentile of the potential yield distribution (associated with respective adverse and favorable weather scenarios during the rest of the season).
† Probability of obtaining a 2018 yield below (<-10%), near (±10%), and above (>10%) the long-term potential yield at each location.