Nebraska Wheat Forecast Drops 9%

Nebraska Wheat Forecast Drops 9%

May 15, 2009

Based on May 1 conditions, Nebraska's 2009 winterwheat crop is forecast at 67.2 million bushels, down 9% from last year's crop, according tothe USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service, Nebraska Field office. Average yield isforecast at 42 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from last year but 2 bushels above the 10-yearaverage.

Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 1.60 million acres, down 70,000 acres or4% from last year. This would be 94% of the planted acres, compared to 95%harvested last year and the ten-year average of 93%.

The May 3 wheat condition was rated 71% good to excellent, above both last year and average. Crop development was a few days ahead of last year but about one week behind normal due to cool temperatures during April.

May 1 hay stocks of 935 thousand tons are down 6% from last year and 18%below the 10-year average.

National Wheat Forecast Down 20%

Nationally, the winter wheat production forecast of 1.50 billion bushels is down 20% from 2008. Expected area for harvest as grain or seed totals 34 million acres, down 14% from last year. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.2 bushels per acre, down 3 bushels from the previous year.

Hard red production is down 16% from a year ago to 871 million bushels. Soft Red production is down 31% and totals 422 million bushels. White production totals 208 million bushels, down 5% from a year ago. Of the White production total, 20.8 million bushels are hard white and 188 million bushels are soft white.

Find agricultural statistics for your county, state, and nation at www.nass.usda.gov.