| Location | Water Regime | Long-Term Average Yield (bu/ac) § | Range of Yp Forecasts as of Aug 1 (bu/ac)¶ | Probability (%) of 2018 Yield to be: | Simulated Current Crop Stage* | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below | Near | Above | |||||||
| 25th | 75th | (relative to the long-term Yp)† | |||||||
NE |
Alliance | Irrigated | 191 | 188 | 217 | 7% | 59% | 34% | R2, Blister |
| Beatrice | Dryland | 114 | 149 | 179 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R4, Dough | |
| Irrigated | 233 | 226 | 241 | 0% | 100% | 0% | R4, Dough | ||
| Clay Center | Dryland | 149 | 170 | 218 | 0% | 26% | 74% | R4, Dough | |
| Irrigated | 244 | 245 | 263 | 0% | 81% | 19% | R4, Dough | ||
| Concord | Dryland | 143 | 208 | 243 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R3, Milk | |
| Irrigated | 251 | 247 | 269 | 3% | 81% | 17% | R4, Dough | ||
| Elgin | Irrigated | 251 | 256 | 285 | 0% | 53% | 47% | R3, Milk | |
| Holdrege | Dryland | 105 | 119 | 138 | 0% | 14% | 86% | R4, Dough | |
| Irrigated | 241 | 241 | 261 | 0% | 83% | 17% | R4, Dough | ||
| McCook | Dryland | 82 | 113 | 126 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R4, Dough | |
| Irrigated | 225 | 222 | 246 | 8% | 69% | 22% | R3, Milk | ||
| Mead | Dryland | 157 | 207 | 241 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R4, Dough | |
| Irrigated | 235 | 245 | 268 | 0% | 56% | 44% | R4, Dough | ||
| North Platte | Dryland | 86 | 121 | 138 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R3, Milk | |
| Irrigated | 230 | 234 | 272 | 3% | 53% | 44% | R2, Blister | ||
| O'Neil | Irrigated | 221 | 234 | 277 | 0% | 42% | 58% | R2, Blister | |
IA |
Ames | Dryland | 228 | 236 | 258 | 0% | 62% | 38% | R4, Dough |
| Crawfordsville | Dryland | 221 | 155 | 173 | 100% | 0% | 0% | R4, Dough | |
| Kanawha | Dryland | 225 | 225 | 253 | 0% | 68% | 32% | R3, Milk | |
| Lewis | Dryland | 183 | 186 | 228 | 0% | 42% | 58% | R4, Dough | |
| Nashua | Dryland | 225 | 229 | 247 | 4% | 75% | 21% | R3, Milk | |
| Sutherland | Dryland | 193 | 191 | 212 | 0% | 75% | 25% | R3, Milk | |
IL |
Bondville | Dryland | 214 | 271 | 290 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R4, Dough |
| Freeport | Dryland | 197 | 226 | 251 | 0% | 7% | 93% | R4, Dough | |
| Olney | Dryland | 188 | 212 | 231 | 0% | 15% | 85% | R5, Dent | |
| Peoria | Dryland | 165 | 237 | 255 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R4, Dough | |
| Springfield | Dryland | 170 | 220 | 229 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R5, Dent | |
IN |
Butlerville | Dryland | 223 | 206 | 220 | 20% | 80% | 0% | R4, Dough |
| Columbia City | Dryland | 219 | 231 | 259 | 0% | 47% | 53% | R2, Blister | |
| Davis | Dryland | 214 | 250 | 261 | 0% | 7% | 93% | R3, Milk | |
| West Lafayette | Dryland | 229 | 224 | 242 | 0% | 79% | 21% | R3, Milk | |
KS |
Garden City | Irrigated | 222 | 215 | 232 | 0% | 100% | 0% | R4, Dough |
| Hutchinson | Dryland | 93 | 126 | 130 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R5, Dent | |
| Manhattan | Dryland | 126 | 94 | 95 | 100% | 0% | 0% | R5, Dent | |
| Scandia | Dryland | 120 | 130 | 164 | 0% | 32% | 68% | R4, Dough | |
| Irrigated | 238 | 253 | 271 | 0% | 47% | 53% | R4, Dough | ||
| Silverlake | Dryland | 129 | 61 | 61 | 100% | 0% | 0% | R5, Dent | |
| Irrigated | 220 | 221 | 233 | 0% | 97% | 3% | R5, Dent | ||
MI |
Ceresco | Dryland | 174 | 199 | 220 | 0% | 12% | 88% | R1, Silking |
MN |
Eldred | Dryland | 101 | 70 | 104 | 62% | 14% | 24% | R3, Milk |
| Lamberton | Dryland | 180 | 231 | 253 | 0% | 0% | 100% | R3, Milk | |
| Waseca | Dryland | 203 | 241 | 274 | 0% | 5% | 95% | R3, Milk | |
MO |
Brunswick | Dryland | 183 | 137 | 142 | 100% | 0% | 0% | R5, Dent |
| Monroe City | Dryland | 171 | 191 | 201 | 0% | 24% | 76% | R4, Dough | |
| St Joseph | Dryland | 154 | 91 | 95 | 100% | 0% | 0% | R5, Dent | |
ND |
Dazey | Dryland | 107 | 37 | 72 | 83% | 17% | 0% | R3, Milk |
OH |
Custar | Dryland | 195 | 215 | 247 | 0% | 25% | 75% | R2, Blister |
| South Charleston | Dryland | 208 | 226 | 251 | 0% | 31% | 69% | R3, Milk | |
| Wooster | Dryland | 202 | 220 | 250 | 0% | 38% | 63% | R2, Blister | |
§ Long-term (last 20+ years) potential yield at each location and surrounding area.
¶ Range of forecasted 2018 potential yields based on average planting date in 2018, indicating yields in the 25th and 75th percentile of the potential yield distribution (associated with respective adverse and favorable weather scenarios during the rest of the season).
† Probability of obtaining a 2018 yield below (10%) the long-term potential yield at each location.
